Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.