Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Republic of Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Rep. Ireland
1 - 2
Netherlands

Idah (4' pen.)
Bazunu (18'), Ogbene (42'), Knight (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gakpo (19' pen.), Weghorst (56')
Wieffer (16'), Gakpo (67'), Weghorst (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with the Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Greece
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawNetherlands
43.69% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)25.99% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)30.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.074999999999996 0.07)51.5% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.062999999999999 0.06)73.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.090999999999994 0.09)31.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.103 0.1)67.59% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 43.69%
    Netherlands 30.32%
    Draw 25.99%
Republic of IrelandDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Netherlands

Republic of Ireland
17.7%
Draw
16.7%
Netherlands
65.6%
96
Head to Head
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
1-1
Netherlands
> Match Report