Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 10, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Adam Idah 4' goal
  • Gavin Bazunu 18' yellowcard
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 42' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 16'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 19'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 56'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 67'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 87'

Republic of Ireland vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
France 2 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Netherlands 3 - 0 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Republic of Ireland 43.69% (-0.07)
Draw 25.99% (-0.02)
Netherlands 30.32% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.5% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.5% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.7% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 73.3% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.45% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.55% (-0.05)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 76.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.45% (-0.01)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 68.76% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.25% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 32.41% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.59% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 43.69%
Draw 25.99%
Netherlands 30.32%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.99%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shane Long 30' goal
  • Harry Arter 40' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 85'

Build-up

News