Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Greece had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.