Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
0 - 2
Greece

Smallbone (10')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Giakoumakis (20'), Masouras (45+4')
Pelkas (56'), Bouchalakis (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Greece	5	5	9
3	Netherlands	4	3	9
4	Republic of Ireland	5	-2	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Greece	5	5	9
3	Netherlands	4	3	9
4	Republic of Ireland	5	-2	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Greece had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Greece
44.5% ( -0.05)	25.97% ( -0)	29.53% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.28% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24% (

0.04)

51.76% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

0.04)

73.53% (

-0.04)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

-0.01)

23.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94% (

-0.01)

57.06% (

0.01)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

0.06)

31.95% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

0.07)

68.4% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 44.49%

Greece 29.53%

Draw 25.97%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.53%