Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Evan De Haro 83' yellowcard
  • goal Calvin Stengs 10'
  • goal Mats Wieffer 23'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 38'
  • yellowcard Jordan Teze 45'
  • goal Calvin Stengs 50'
  • goal Calvin Stengs 62'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 81'

Gibraltar vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 7.45pm
France 14 - 0 Gibraltar

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 1.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-4 (13.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Gibraltar 1.53% (+0.05)
Draw 6.24% (+0.31)
Netherlands 92.22% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

25.57% (-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.9% (-1.61)
Under 2.5 30.09% (+1.61)
Over 3.5 48.69% (-1.96)
Under 3.5 51.3% (+1.96)
Over 4.5 29.55% (-1.80)
Under 4.5 70.45% (+1.79)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 26.54% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 73.45% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 3.88% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 96.11% (+0.24)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 96.31% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 3.68% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 84.16% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 15.84% (+0.98)

Score analysis

Gibraltar 1.53%
Draw 6.25%
Netherlands 92.21%
Gibraltar
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 1.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.76% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 2.7% (+0.25)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 6.25%
Netherlands
0-3 @ 16.22% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 14.74% (+0.64)
0-4 @ 13.39% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 8.93% (+0.59)
0-5 @ 8.84% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.08)
0-6 @ 4.87% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 4.55% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 4.13% (-0.17)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.19)
0-7 @ 2.3% (-0.19)
1-6 @ 1.5% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 92.21%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Memphis Depay 23' goal
  • Nathan Ake 50' goal
  • Nathan Ake 82' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 9' goal
  • Memphis Depay 21' goal
  • Memphis Depay 45'+3' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 48' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 75' goal
  • Donyell Malen 86' goal
  • yellowcard Graeme Torilla 18'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
0
7
HT : 0 1
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Kian Ronan 31' yellowcard
  • Tjay De Barr 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 38'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 42'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 55'
  • goal Memphis Depay 61'
  • goal Georginio Wijnaldum 62'
  • goal Donyell Malen 64'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 85'
  • goal Memphis Depay 88'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 90'+3'