Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 1.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-4 (13.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.