Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Netherlands
1 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Weghorst (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Molumby (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with the Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 0-1 Netherlands
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	7	6	12
3	Netherlands	6	3	12
4	Republic of Ireland	7	0	6
5	Gibraltar	6	-21	0

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-4 Rep. Ireland
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	7	6	12
3	Netherlands	6	3	12
4	Republic of Ireland	7	0	6
5	Gibraltar	6	-21	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Republic of Ireland
42.72% ( -0.66)	26.76% ( -0.17)	30.52% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

0.98)

54.49% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

0.81)

75.85% (

-0.81)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.1)

25.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

0.14)

60.01% (

-0.14)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

1.13)

32.64% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

1.24)

69.18% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Netherlands 42.72%

Republic of Ireland 30.52%

Draw 26.76%

Netherlands	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.52%