Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Wout Weghorst 11' goal
  • yellowcard Jayson Molumby 90'

Netherlands vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
Greece 0 - 1 Netherlands

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gibraltar 0 - 4 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Netherlands in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands.

Result

Netherlands 42.72% (-0.67)
Draw 26.76% (-0.18)
Republic of Ireland 30.52% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.35% (+0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.51% (+0.98)
Under 2.5 54.49% (-0.98)
Over 3.5 24.16% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 75.85% (-0.81)
Over 4.5 10.83% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 89.17% (-0.50)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 74.75% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 25.26% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.99% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.01% (-0.15)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 67.36% (+1.13)
Under 0.5 32.64% (-1.13)
Over 1.5 30.82% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 69.18% (-1.24)

Score analysis

Netherlands 42.72%
Draw 26.76%
Republic of Ireland 30.52%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.76%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 5.17% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.65% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.52%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 10, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Adam Idah 4' goal
  • Gavin Bazunu 18' yellowcard
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 42' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 16'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 19'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 56'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 67'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 87'
International Friendlies
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shane Long 30' goal
  • Harry Arter 40' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 85'