Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Netherlands national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
France national football team

Netherlands
1 - 2
France

Hartman (83')
Veerman (29'), Dumfries (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (7', 53')
Tchouameni (90+4'), Mbappe (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice to help France qualify for Euro 2024 with a 2-1 victory against the Netherlands at the Johan Cruijff ArenA on Friday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

France

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawFrance
36.98% (-1.897 -1.9)25.18% (0.198 0.2)37.84% (1.699 1.7)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-0.868 -0.87)46.51% (0.86799999999999 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-0.819 -0.82)68.79% (0.819 0.82)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-1.398 -1.4)24.67% (1.399 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-1.995 -2)59.19% (1.995 2)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.52800000000001 0.53)24.2% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.743 0.74)58.54% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 36.98%
    France 37.84%
    Draw 25.18%
NetherlandsDrawFrance
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.391 0.39)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.163 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.225 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Netherlands vs France

Netherlands
12.9%
Draw
18.8%
France
68.3%
186
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
France
4-0
Netherlands
Griezmann (2'), Upamecano (8'), Mbappe (21', 88')
> Match Report
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Netherlands
2-0
France
Wijnaldum (44'), Depay (90' pen.)
Wijnaldum (17')

Kante (50'), Digne (58'), Pavard (72'), Dembele (89')
> Match Report
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
France
2-1
Netherlands
Mbappe (14'), Giroud (75')
Griezmann (56'), Pavard (80')
Babel (67')
> Match Report
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
France
4-0
Netherlands
Griezmann (14'), Lemar (73', 88'), Mbappe (90')
> Match Report
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
0-1
France
Pogba (30')
> Match Report