Euro Champ Qualifying
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-
Joey Veerman
29'
-
Denzel Dumfries
51'
-
Quilindschy Hartman
83'
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Kylian Mbappe
7'
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Kylian Mbappe
53'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
90'+4'
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Kylian Mbappe
90'+6'
Netherlands vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fkylian-mbappe.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Ffrance.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result
Netherlands
36.98%
▼
(-1.90)
Draw
25.18%
▲
(+0.20)
France
37.84%
▲
(+1.70)
Both Teams to Score:
57.1%
▼
(-0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.49%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 2.5
46.51%
▲
(+0.87)
Over 3.5
31.21%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 3.5
68.79%
▲
(+0.82)
Over 4.5
15.51%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 4.5
84.48%
▲
(+0.58)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5
75.33%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 0.5
24.67%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 1.5
40.8%
▼
(-2.00)
Under 1.5
59.19%
▲
(+2.00)
France Goals
Over 0.5
75.79%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 0.5
24.2%
▼
(-0.53)
Over 1.5
41.46%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
58.54%
▼
(-0.75)
Score analysis
Netherlands
36.98%
Draw
25.18%
France
37.84%
Netherlands
1-0
@
8.36%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 36.98%
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 36.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.85%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
France
0-1
@
8.47%
▲
(+0.44)
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-90.40)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.84%
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-90.40)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.84%
Head to Head
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Antoine Griezmann
2'
-
Dayot Upamecano
8'
-
Kylian Mbappe
21'
-
Kylian Mbappe
88'
Nations League
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
17'
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
44'
-
Memphis Depay
90'
-
N'Golo Kante
50'
-
Lucas Digne
58'
-
Benjamin Pavard
72'
-
Ousmane Dembele
89'
Nations League
-
Kylian Mbappe
14'
-
Antoine Griezmann
56'
-
Olivier Giroud
75'
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Benjamin Pavard
80'
-
Ryan Babel
67'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
-
Antoine Griezmann
14'
-
Thomas Lemar
73'
-
Thomas Lemar
88'
-
Kylian Mbappe
90'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
-
Paul Pogba
30'
International Friendlies
-
Luuk de Jong
47'
-
Ibrahim Afellay
86'
-
Antoine Griezmann
6'
-
Olivier Giroud
13'
-
Blaise Matuidi
69'
-
Blaise Matuidi
88'
Form Data
Build-up
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Fdayot-upamecano-kylian-mbappe-randal-kolo-muani.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fnetherlands.jpg)