Euro Champ Qualifying
Greece
Oct 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT OPAP Arena
Netherlands
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 14' yellowcard
  • Petros Mantalos 29' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Retsos 76' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 86' yellowcard
  • Gus Poyet 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 13'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 90'+3'

Greece vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 2 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Netherlands had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Netherlands win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Greece 53.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Netherlands 20.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.38% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.12% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 22.2% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 77.8% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 9.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.37% ▲ (+0.09)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 78.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 21.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 45.63% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 54.36% ▲ (+0.14)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 57.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 42.28% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 21.33% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.67% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Greece 53.34%
Draw 25.67%
Netherlands 20.98%
Greece
1-0 @ 13.94% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.67%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Netherlands
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
Greece
  • Marten de Roon 17' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 31' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 39' goal
  • Nathan Ake 43' yellowcard
  • Virgil van Dijk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanouil Siopis 11'
  • yellowcard Kostas Tsimikas 44'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 68'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 75'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
May 28, 2020 6.30pm
Greece
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Greece
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 14' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Manolas 10'
  • goal Konstantinos Mitroglou 29'
  • goal Giannis Gianniotas 74'

Form Data

Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece
Greece 5 - 0 Gibraltar
Netherlands 3 - 0 Greece
France 1 - 0 Greece
Greece 2 - 1 Rep. Ireland
Greece 0 - 0 Lithuania
Netherlands 1 - 2 France
Rep. Ireland 1 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 3 - 0 Greece
Netherlands 2 - 3 Italy
Netherlands 2 - 4 Croatia
Netherlands 3 - 0 Gibraltar