Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

OPAP Arena

Greece
0 - 1
Netherlands

Kourbelis (14'), Mantalos (29'), Retsos (76'), Pavlidis (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

van Dijk (90+3' pen.)
Geertruida (13'), Simons (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	6	7	12
3	Netherlands	5	2	9
4	Republic of Ireland	6	-4	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Netherlands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	6	7	12
3	Netherlands	5	2	9
4	Republic of Ireland	6	-4	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Netherlands had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Netherlands win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Netherlands
53.35% ( -0.05)	25.67% ( 0.05)	20.98%

Both teams to score 45.38% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12% (

-0.17)

56.88% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2% (

-0.14)

77.8% (

0.14)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-0.09)

21.38% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-0.14)

54.36% (

0.14)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.72% (

-0.1)

42.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.33% (

-0.08)

78.67% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Greece 53.34%

Netherlands 20.98%

Draw 25.67%

Greece	Draw	Netherlands
1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.98%