/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgiblog_1.png)
-
Ethan Santos
3'
-
Marcus Thuram
4'
-
Warren Zaire-Emery
16'
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Kylian Mbappe
30'
-
Jonathan Clauss
34'
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Kingsley Coman
36'
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Youssouf Fofana
37'
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Adrien Rabiot
63'
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Kingsley Coman
65'
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Ousmane Dembele
73'
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Kylian Mbappe
74'
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Kylian Mbappe
82'
-
Olivier Giroud
89'
-
Olivier Giroud
90'+1'
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Ethan Santos
18'
-
Lee Casciaro
31'
France vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F42%2Ffrance.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F24%2Fwarren-zaire-emery.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 99.47%. A draw had a probability of 0.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 5-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 6-0 (14.71%) and 4-0 (13.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 14-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result
France
99.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
0.5%
▲
(+1.31)
Gibraltar
0.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
7.25%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
92.29%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
7.71%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
81.92%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
18.08%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
67.17%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 4.5
32.83%
▲
(+0.59)
France Goals
Over 0.5
99.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
0.36%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 1.5
97.6%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
2.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5
7.27%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
92.73%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
0.27%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 1.5
99.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
France
99.45%
Draw
0.5%
Gibraltar
0.03%
France
5-0
@
15.71%
▲
(+0.11)
6-0 @ 14.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 13.98% ▲ (+0.18)
7-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.20)
8-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.14)
9-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.11)
10-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.07)
11-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 99.45%
6-0 @ 14.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 13.98% ▲ (+0.18)
7-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.20)
8-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.14)
9-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.11)
10-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.07)
11-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 99.45%
Draw
Other @
0.5%
Total : 0.5%
Total : 0.5%
Gibraltar
Other @
0.03%
Total : 0.03%
Total : 0.03%