Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

France national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Gibraltar national football team

France
14 - 0
Gibraltar

Santos (3' og.), Thuram (4'), Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (30' pen., 74', 82'), Clauss (34'), Coman (36', 65'), Fofana (37'), Rabiot (63'), Dembele (73'), Giroud (89', 90+1')
FT(HT: 7-0)

Casciaro (31')
Santos (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-1 Scotland
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-4 Rep. Ireland
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 99.47%. A draw had a probability of 0.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 5-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 6-0 (14.71%) and 4-0 (13.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 14-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawGibraltar
99.47% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)0.5% (0.013 0.01)0.03% (-0.001 -0)
Both teams to score 7.25% (-0.1951 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
92.29% (-0.211 -0.21)7.71% (0.2149 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
81.92% (-0.405 -0.41)18.08% (0.409 0.41)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)0.36% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
97.6% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)2.4% (0.075 0.08)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
7.27% (-0.195 -0.19)92.73% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.27% (-0.015 -0.02)99.73% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    France 99.45%
    Gibraltar 0.03%
    Draw 0.5%
FranceDrawGibraltar
5-0 @ 15.71% (0.1 0.1)
6-0 @ 14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 13.98% (0.18 0.18)
7-0 @ 11.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.96% (0.196 0.2)
8-0 @ 8.3% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.139 0.14)
9-0 @ 5.18% (-0.107 -0.11)
10-0 @ 2.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-0 @ 1.89% (0.062 0.06)
11-0 @ 1.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 99.45%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 0.5%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 0.03%

How you voted: France vs Gibraltar

France
81.6%
Draw
13.2%
Gibraltar
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-3
France
Giroud (3'), Mbappe (45+3' pen.), Mouelhi (78' og.)
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rhs 2.0


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