We said: Gibraltar 0-3 Scotland
In the nations' third meeting since Gibraltar joined UEFA, Scotland will avoid embarrassment and secure a long-awaited victory to end their worrying winless run.
The Tartan Army have scored 12 goals across the two previous encounters, and they are likely to find the net multiple times in southern Portugal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.01%) and 0-4 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Scotland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Scotland.
0.06) 
-0.17) 
