Gibraltar0 - 2Scotland
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.01%) and 0-4 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Scotland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Scotland.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Scotland |
| 2.77% ( | 8.75% ( | 88.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 31.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% ( | 34.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( | 55.95% ( |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.97% ( | 67.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.16% ( | 93.84% ( |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95% ( | 5.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.01% ( | 19.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 2.77% | 1-1 @ 4.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 2-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 8.75% | 0-2 @ 15.04% ( 0-3 @ 15.01% ( 0-4 @ 11.24% ( 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0-5 @ 6.73% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 6.01% ( 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0-6 @ 3.36% ( 1-5 @ 2.69% ( 0-7 @ 1.44% ( 1-6 @ 1.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 88.46% |


