Scotland vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.