/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fscolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fenglog.png)
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Jack Hendry
42'
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Harry Maguire
67'
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Kieran Tierney
77'
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Phil Foden
32'
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Jude Bellingham
35'
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Kalvin Phillips
41'
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Jude Bellingham
42'
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Harry Kane
81'
Scotland vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
Result
Scotland
31.66%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
27.61%
▲
(+0.13)
England
40.73%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
48.25%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.64%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
57.36%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 3.5
21.82%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
78.18%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 4.5
9.4%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
90.6%
▲
(+0.21)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5
66.69%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
33.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
30.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
69.93%
▲
(+0.09)
England Goals
Over 0.5
72.36%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
27.64%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
36.82%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
63.18%
▲
(+0.50)
Score analysis
Scotland
31.66%
Draw
27.61%
England
40.73%
Scotland
1-0
@
10.12%
▲
(+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.66%
2-1 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.66%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.61%
England
0-1
@
11.84%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.73%
1-2 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.73%