Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
1 - 3
England

Maguire (67' og.)
Hendry (42'), Tierney (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Foden (32'), Bellingham (35'), Kane (81')
Phillips (41'), Bellingham (42')

Reaction

England's Harry Maguire reacts after scoring an own goal on September 12, 2023

Aaron Ramsdale: 'Harry Maguire is one of England's best defenders'

Arsenal and England goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale hails Harry Maguire as one of the Three Lions' best defenders amid the persistent criticism of the Manchester United man.

Sep 13, 12:36

Gareth Southgate slams "ridiculous" Harry Maguire criticism after Scotland win

England manager Gareth Southgate slams the "ridiculous" ongoing criticism of Harry Maguire after the defender's own goal in Tuesday's 3-1 friendly win over Scotland.

Sep 13, 07:37

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Scotland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Next Game: Scotland vs. England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

England

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 England
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	5	14	13
2	Ukraine	4	0	7
3	Italy	3	1	4
4	North Macedonia	4	-7	4
5	Malta	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	England
31.66% ( 0.21)	27.61% ( 0.13)	40.73% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64% (

-0.42)

57.36% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82% (

-0.34)

78.18% (

0.34)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

-0.07)

33.31% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

-0.08)

69.93% (

0.09)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.38)

27.64% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.49)

63.18% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Scotland 31.66%

England 40.73%

Draw 27.61%

Scotland	Draw	England
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.73%