Euro Champ Qualifying
N. Ireland
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Windsor Park
Slovenia
  • Shea Charles 4' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 58' redcard
  • Jordan Thompson 59' yellowcard
  • Paul Smyth 60' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 87' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Gnezda Cerin 5'
  • yellowcard Timi Elsnik 37'
  • yellowcard Andraz Sporar 56'

Northern Ireland vs Slovenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 2.00pm
N. Ireland 3 - 0 San Marino

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 5.00pm
Slovenia 3 - 0 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result

Northern Ireland 47.01% ▲ (+2.72)
Draw 29.24% ▼ (-0.57)
Slovenia 23.75% ▼ (-2.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.5% ▼ (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.97% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 66.04% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 15.39% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 84.61% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 5.83% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 94.17% ▼ (-0.18)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 71.56% ▲ (+1.71)
Under 0.5 28.44% ▼ (-1.70)
Over 1.5 35.8% ▲ (+2.10)
Under 1.5 64.21% ▼ (-2.09)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 55.21% ▼ (-1.73)
Under 0.5 44.8% ▲ (+1.73)
Over 1.5 19.23% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 1.5 80.77% ▲ (+1.43)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 47%
Draw 29.24%
Slovenia 23.75%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 16.01% ▲ (+0.46)
2-0 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.74)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.49)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-93.14)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 12.74% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.24%
Slovenia
0-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.70)
1-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.50)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Slovenia
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion Stozice
N. Ireland
  • Andraz Sporar 3' goal
  • Jonny Evans 17' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 42' goal
  • Andraz Sporar 56' goal
  • David Brekalo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Price 7'
  • yellowcard Isaac Price 48'
  • goal Jonny Evans 53'
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 57'
  • yellowcard Ali McCann 90'+3'
International Friendlies
N. Ireland
Mar 28, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Slovenia
  • Conor Washington 41' goal
  • Jamie Ward 43' yellowcard
  • Conor Washington 52' yellowcard
  • Jonny Evans 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Oblak 52'
  • yellowcard Andraz Kirm 88'

Form Data

N. Ireland 3 - 0 San Marino
Kazakhstan 1 - 0 N. Ireland
Slovenia 4 - 2 N. Ireland
N. Ireland 0 - 1 Kazakhstan
Denmark 1 - 0 N. Ireland
N. Ireland 0 - 1 Finland
Slovenia 3 - 0 Finland
San Marino 0 - 4 Slovenia
Slovenia 4 - 2 N. Ireland
Slovenia 1 - 1 Denmark
Finland 2 - 0 Slovenia
Slovenia 2 - 0 San Marino