Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.