Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Benjamin Kallman 28'

Northern Ireland vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
San Marino 0 - 2 N. Ireland

Finland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
Denmark 3 - 1 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Northern Ireland 41.73% (+0.10)
Draw 28.62% (-0.02)
Finland 29.65% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.68% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.52% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 61.48% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 18.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 81.35% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 7.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.43% (-0.01)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 70.94% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 29.06% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 35.03% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 64.97% (-0.09)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 37.01% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.2% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 73.8% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 41.73%
Draw 28.62%
Finland 29.65%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 13.29% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 41.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.62%
Finland
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.65%

Head to Head

European Championship
Oct 11, 2015 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paulus Arajuuri 87' goal
  • goal Craig Cathcart 31'
European Championship
Mar 29, 2015 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 33' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 38' goal
  • Chris Baird 63' yellowcard
  • Chris Brunt 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Pohjanpalo 70'
  • yellowcard Paulus Arajuuri 79'
  • goal Berat Sadik 91'