UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Windsor Park

N. Ireland
2 - 1
Kosovo

Whyte (82'), Magennis (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muriqi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-2 Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Kosovo

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Greece 2-0 Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Kosovo
34.93% ( 0.11)	26.58% ( 0.13)	38.48% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25% (

-0.54)

52.75% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-0.46)

74.38% (

0.46)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0.19)

28.81% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0.24)

64.66% (

0.24)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

-0.39)

26.72% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01% (

-0.52)

61.98% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 34.93%

Kosovo 38.48%

Draw 26.58%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.93%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.48%