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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Greece national football team

N. Ireland
0 - 1
Greece


Whyte (41'), McNair (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakasetas (39')
Tzavellas (84'), Mantalos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Ireland vs. Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League

Greece

Last Six:
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Greece

 With both nations seemingly on the up, this should be a competitive encounter. Northern Ireland will start as the marginal favourites, but we are expecting the visitors to strike in the final third at some stage, earning a draw that will be deemed more than satisfactory by their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Greece in this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawGreece
26.27% (0.02 0.02) 27.78% (0.0040000000000013 0) 45.94% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)80.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.77% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.18% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.27% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 26.27%
    Greece 45.94%
    Draw 27.77%
Northern IrelandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 45.94%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Greece

Northern Ireland
40.0%
Draw
25.2%
Greece
34.8%
135
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Group F
N. Ireland
3-1
Greece
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Group F
Greece
0-2
N. Ireland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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