Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.