Kosovo vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.