Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.49%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.