/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
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Rasmus Hojlund
21'
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Rasmus Hojlund
82'
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Rasmus Hojlund
90'+3'
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Oliver Antman
53'
Denmark vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Finland had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
Result
Denmark
65.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
20.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Finland
13.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
45.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
49.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
28.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
71.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5
85.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
14.1%
Over 1.5
58.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
41.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
52.68%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
47.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
17.27%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
82.73%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Denmark
65.89%
Draw
20.68%
Finland
13.43%
Denmark
1-0
@
13.07%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 65.89%
2-0 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 65.89%
Draw
1-1
@
9.78%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.68%
0-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.68%
Finland
0-1
@
4.99%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 13.43%
Robin Lod
4'