/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fslolog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
-
Erik Janza
10'
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Benjamin Sesko
16'
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Benjamin Sesko
28'
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Erik Janza
90'+2'
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Benjamin Kallman
34'
Slovenia vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fslovenia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
Result
Slovenia
43.97%
▲
(+2.36)
Draw
27.51%
▼
(-0.47)
Finland
28.52%
▼
(-1.90)
Both Teams to Score:
47.16%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.92%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 2.5
58.08%
▼
(-0.94)
Over 3.5
21.25%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 3.5
78.75%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 4.5
9.06%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 4.5
90.93%
▼
(-0.43)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5
73.75%
▲
(+1.69)
Under 0.5
26.24%
▼
(-1.70)
Over 1.5
38.65%
▲
(+2.21)
Under 1.5
61.35%
▼
(-2.21)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
63.94%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 0.5
36.05%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 1.5
27.16%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 1.5
72.84%
▲
(+0.99)
Score analysis
Slovenia
43.96%
Draw
27.51%
Finland
28.52%
Slovenia
1-0
@
12.65%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.96%
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1
@
12.91%
▼
(-0.18)
0-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.51%
0-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.51%
Finland
0-1
@
9.65%
▼
(-0.61)
1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 28.52%
1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 28.52%