Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Kazakhstan national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
 
Slovenia national football team

Kazakhstan
1 - 2
Slovenia

Samorodov (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brekalo (47'), Vipotnik (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kazakhstan and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Last Game: UAE 2-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovenia 1-0 Montenegro
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
27.18% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)28.06% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)44.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (0.020999999999997 0.02)80.69% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)27.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 27.18%
    Slovenia 44.75%
    Draw 28.05%
KazakhstanDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.18%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 13.62%
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.75%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Slovenia

Kazakhstan
22.1%
Draw
12.2%
Slovenia
65.7%
172