Slovenia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Montenegro national football team

Slovenia
1 - 0
Montenegro

Zajc (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Slovenia and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 1-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Montenegro

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 2-3 Croatia
Monday, November 17 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawMontenegro
41.54% (-10.353 -10.35)27.28% (4.184 4.18)31.18% (6.17 6.17)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-8.988 -8.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (-13.766 -13.77)56.24% (13.766 13.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (-12.408 -12.41)77.28% (12.407 12.41)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-10.249 -10.25)26.67% (10.249 10.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-15.829 -15.83)61.92% (15.831 15.83)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-2.545 -2.54)33.07% (2.546 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-2.918 -2.92)69.66% (2.918 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 41.53%
    Montenegro 31.18%
    Draw 27.27%
SloveniaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 11.65% (2.595 2.6)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-1.183 -1.18)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-2.09 -2.09)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-1.532 -1.53)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-1.391 -1.39)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-1.399 -1.4)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-1.103 -1.1)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.89% (2.15 2.15)
0-0 @ 8.82% (3.807 3.81)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-1.043 -1.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.76% (3.811 3.81)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.76 0.76)
0-2 @ 5.4% (1.87 1.87)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.596 0.6)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.539 -0.54)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Montenegro

Slovenia
48.1%
Draw
37.0%
Montenegro
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2018 7.15pm
International Friendlies
Montenegro
0-2
Slovenia

Vesovic (45'), Mugosa (67')
Bezjak (39' pen.), Zajc (79')
Kurtic (40'), Mevlja (44'), Sporar (54'), Jokic (69')