International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadion Stožice

Slovenia
1 - 0
Montenegro

Zajc (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Slovenia and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Romania 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, November 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Montenegro

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Montenegro 2-2 Slovakia
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Montenegro
41.54% ( -10.35)	27.28% ( 4.18)	31.18% ( 6.17)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-8.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

-13.77)

56.24% (

13.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

-12.41)

77.28% (

12.41)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32% (

-10.25)

26.67% (

10.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08% (

-15.83)

61.92% (

15.83)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

-2.54)

33.07% (

2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

-2.92)

69.66% (

2.92)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 41.53%

Montenegro 31.18%

Draw 27.27%

Slovenia	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 2.6) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -1.18) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -2.09) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -1.53) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -1.39) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -1.4) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -1.1) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 2.15) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 3.81) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -1.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 3.81) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1.87) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.18%