United Arab Emirates national football team
International Friendly
Nov 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Sheikh Zayed Sports City
Kazakhstan national football team

UAE
2 - 1
Kazakhstan

Lima (13', 71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aymbetov (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's international friendly between United Arab Emirates and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UAE 0-5 Argentina
Wednesday, November 16 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-0 Kazakhstan
Wednesday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for United Arab Emirates in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for United Arab Emirates.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawKazakhstan
50.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.73%25.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.41% (0.002999999999993 0)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.61% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 50.9%
    Kazakhstan 25.36%
    Draw 23.72%
United Arab EmiratesDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: UAE vs Kazakhstan

United Arab Emirates
68.3%
Draw
19.5%
Kazakhstan
12.2%
41