Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 10, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Robert Ivanov 18' yellowcard
  • Jere Uronen 53' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rasmus Kristensen 13'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 62'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 73'
  • goal Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 86'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 90'+4'

Finland vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 0 - 1 Finland

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Denmark 4 - 0 San Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Finland 38.35% (+0.08)
Draw 27.62% (-0.08)
Denmark 34.03% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.06% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 56.93% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 22.16% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 77.84% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 9.6% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 90.39% (-0.14)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 71.21% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 28.79% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 35.36% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 64.63% (-0.22)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 31.47% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 32.15% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.85% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Finland 38.35%
Draw 27.62%
Denmark 34.03%
Finland
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.12% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
Denmark
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.03%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rasmus Hojlund 21' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 82' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 90'+3' goal
  • goal Oliver Antman 53'
European Championship
Jun 12, 2021 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Telia Parken
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 4'
  • yellowcard Tim Sparv 51'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 60'