Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
1 - 1
Denmark

Sporar (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hojlund (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Finland 2-0 Slovenia
Friday, June 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	3	3	6
2	Denmark	3	2	6
3	Finland	3	1	6
4	Slovenia	3	1	6
5	Northern Ireland	3	0	3
6	San Marino	3	-7	0

Denmark

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Denmark 1-0 N. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	3	3	6
2	Denmark	3	2	6
3	Finland	3	1	6
4	Slovenia	3	1	6
5	Northern Ireland	3	0	3
6	San Marino	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Denmark
43.93% ( 7.83)	21.71% ( -5.52)	34.36% ( -2.31)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

19.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

25.45)

29.83% (

-25.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

25.51)

50.99% (

-25.52)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

14.84)

14.5% (

-14.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

22.81)

42.49% (

-22.81)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

10.6)

18.38% (

-10.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

15.36)

49.52% (

-15.36)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 43.93%

Denmark 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Slovenia	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 2.18) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -5.27) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -1.43) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 2.58) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.59) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 1.62) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.6) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.74) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 1) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.77) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -4.19) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.23) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -5.84) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.76) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.61) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -6.01) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.87) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -2.7) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.53) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.74) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.08) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.84) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%