Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.