Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 26, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Benjamin Sesko 56' goal
  • Roberto Di Maio 60' goal

Slovenia vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 1 - 2 Slovenia

San Marino

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
San Marino 0 - 2 N. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result

Slovenia 87.83% (-0.05)
Draw 9.04% (-0.07)
San Marino 3.14% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.2% (+1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.11% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 32.89% (-1.26)
Over 3.5 45.41% (+1.44)
Under 3.5 54.59% (-1.44)
Over 4.5 26.65% (+1.23)
Under 4.5 73.35% (-1.23)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 95.08% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 4.92% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 80.25% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 19.75% (-0.63)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 35.97% (+1.57)
Under 0.5 64.03% (-1.57)
Over 1.5 7.42% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 92.57% (-0.68)

Score analysis

Slovenia 87.81%
Draw 9.04%
San Marino 3.14%
Slovenia
3-0 @ 14.34% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 14.29% (-0.56)
4-0 @ 10.79% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.51)
5-0 @ 6.5% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.4% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 6.37% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 4.82% (+0.22)
6-0 @ 3.26% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.9% (+0.17)
6-1 @ 1.46% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.43% (+0.12)
7-0 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-95.93)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 87.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 1.42% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 9.04%
San Marino
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 3.14%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Stožice
  • Nemanja Mitrovic 17' goal
  • Haris Vuckic 25' goal
  • Nemanja Mitrovic 42' goal
  • Rajko Rep 48' goal
European Championship
Oct 12, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Gasperoni 12' yellowcard
  • Cristian Brolli 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josip Ilicic 34'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 48'
  • goal Bostjan Cesar 54'
  • goal Nejc Pecnik 74'
European Championship
Mar 27, 2015 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josip Ilicic 10' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 49' goal
  • Andraz Struna 50' goal
  • Milivoje Novakovic 52' goal
  • Dejan Lazarevic 73' goal
  • Branko Ilic 88' goal
  • yellowcard Davide Simoncini 40'
  • yellowcard Mirko Palazzi 56'
  • yellowcard Andy Selva 75'