Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Arena Petrol

Slovenia
2 - 0
San Marino

Sesko (56'), Di Maio (60' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

San Marino

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	San Marino
87.83% ( -0.05)	9.04% ( -0.07)	3.14% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 34.2% (

1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.11% (

1.26)

32.89% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.41% (

1.44)

54.59% (

-1.43)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.08% (

0.21)

4.92% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.25% (

0.63)

19.75% (

-0.63)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.97% (

1.57)

64.03% (

-1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.42% (

0.68)

92.57% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 87.81%

San Marino 3.14%

Draw 9.04%

Slovenia	Draw	San Marino
3-0 @ 14.34% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.55) 4-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.5) 5-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.17) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) 7-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.29% Total : 87.81%	1-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 9.04%	0-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 3.14%