Saint Lucia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
San Marino national football team

St Lucia
1 - 0
San Marino

Frederick (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Saint Lucia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

Last Game: St Lucia 1-1 San Marino
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: St Lucia 1-1 San Marino
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 85.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 4-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawSan Marino
85.89% (31.973 31.97)9.17% (-16.085 -16.09)4.93% (-15.888 -15.89)
Both teams to score 52.34% (6.058 6.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.8% (34.368 34.37)21.2% (-34.37 -34.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.21% (36.951 36.95)39.79% (-36.952 -36.95)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.68% (17.306 17.31)3.31% (-17.305 -17.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.39% (38.57 38.57)14.6% (-38.571 -38.57)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.14% (-4.17 -4.17)45.86% (4.17 4.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.39% (-3.447 -3.45)81.61% (3.446 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 85.89%
    San Marino 4.93%
    Draw 9.17%
Saint LuciaDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 10.01% (4.37 4.37)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-1.889 -1.89)
4-0 @ 8.53% (6.307 6.31)
3-1 @ 7.81% (2.875 2.88)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-2.499 -2.5)
4-1 @ 6.65% (4.704 4.7)
5-0 @ 5.81% (5.111 5.11)
1-0 @ 5.18% (-8.392 -8.39)
5-1 @ 4.53% (3.918 3.92)
6-0 @ 3.3% (3.117 3.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.886 0.89)
4-2 @ 2.59% (1.741 1.74)
6-1 @ 2.57% (2.412 2.41)
5-2 @ 1.77% (1.498 1.5)
7-0 @ 1.61% (1.565 1.57)
7-1 @ 1.25% (1.216 1.22)
6-2 @ 1% (0.932 0.93)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 85.89%
1-1 @ 4.04% (-7.834 -7.83)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-1.421 -1.42)
0-0 @ 1.52% (-7.076 -7.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 9.17%
1-2 @ 1.57% (-3.622 -3.62)
0-1 @ 1.19% (-6.336 -6.34)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 4.93%

How you voted: St Lucia vs San Marino

Saint Lucia
42.4%
Draw
27.3%
San Marino
30.3%
33
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2022 10pm
St Lucia
1-1
San Marino
Jn Baptiste (30')
Lazzari (90+4')