Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	San Marino
56.38% ( -0.26)	22.77% ( 0.05)	20.85% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.06)

45.66% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.05)

67.98% (

-0.06)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

-0.07)

15.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.68% (

-0.13)

45.31% (

0.12)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

0.24)

36% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

0.24)

72.78% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 56.37%

San Marino 20.85%

Draw 22.77%

Saint Lucia	Draw	San Marino
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 56.37%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.85%