Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Finland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Slovenia national football team

Finland
2 - 0
Slovenia

Pohjanpalo (13'), Antman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Finland and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Finland
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Finland had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.2%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-0 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawSlovenia
32.99% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 40.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.79% (0.012 0.01)67.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)85.4% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)37.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.012 0.01)74.44% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.0049999999999955 0)35.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)72.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Finland 32.99%
    Slovenia 36.33%
    Draw 30.66%
FinlandDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 13.3%
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.66%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Finland vs Slovenia

Finland
30.2%
Draw
21.4%
Slovenia
48.4%
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