Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Astana Arena
  • Maksim Samorodov 60' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 87' yellowcard
  • goal Oliver Antman 78'

Kazakhstan vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
N. Ireland 0 - 1 Kazakhstan

Finland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
Finland 6 - 0 San Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Finland in this match.

Result

Kazakhstan 23.98% (+0.01)
Draw 26.5% (+0.02)
Finland 49.52% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.83% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.17% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.03% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 9.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.51% (+0.02)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.46% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.85% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.15% (+0.02)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 76.83% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.17% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.05% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Kazakhstan 23.98%
Draw 26.5%
Finland 49.51%
Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.5%
Finland
0-1 @ 13.36% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.51%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 12, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Serhiy Maliy 36' yellowcard
  • Baktiyor Zainutdinov 39' yellowcard
  • Yan Vorogovskiy 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Ivanov 36'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 45'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 48'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 4, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 60' goal
  • Nikolai Alho 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramazan Orazov 62'
  • yellowcard Temirlan Erlanov 75'
  • yellowcard Samat Zharynbetov 90'