Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Astana Arena

Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Finland

Samorodov (60'), Chesnokov (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Antman (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kazakhstan and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	4	7	9
2	Kazakhstan	4	4	9
3	Denmark	4	2	7
4	Slovenia	4	1	7
5	Northern Ireland	4	-1	3
6	San Marino	4	-13	0

Finland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Finland 6-0 San Marino
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	4	7	9
2	Kazakhstan	4	4	9
3	Denmark	4	2	7
4	Slovenia	4	1	7
5	Northern Ireland	4	-1	3
6	San Marino	4	-13	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Finland in this match.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Finland
23.98% ( 0)	26.5% ( 0.01)	49.52% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.83% (

-0.04)

57.17% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.97% (

-0.03)

78.03% (

0.03)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.54% (

-0.02)

39.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.85% (

-0.02)

76.15% (

0.02)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

-0.02)

23.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95% (

-0.03)

57.05% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 23.98%

Finland 49.51%

Draw 26.5%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.98%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.51%