Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

San Marino
0 - 3
Kazakhstan

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vorogovskiy (37'), Tagybergen (64' pen.), Zainutdinov (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between San Marino and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	2	3	6
2	Denmark	2	1	3
3	Northern Ireland	2	1	3
4	Kazakhstan	2	0	3
5	Finland	2	-1	3
6	San Marino	2	-4	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kazakhstan 3-2 Denmark
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	2	3	6
2	Denmark	2	1	3
3	Northern Ireland	2	1	3
4	Kazakhstan	2	0	3
5	Finland	2	-1	3
6	San Marino	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Kazakhstan
21.37% ( 0.12)	25.44% ( 0.04)	53.19% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 46.49% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0)

55.67% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0)

76.82% (

0.01)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82% (

0.12)

41.18% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29% (

0.1)

77.71% (

-0.1)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.06)

20.96% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

-0.1)

53.71% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

San Marino 21.37%

Kazakhstan 53.18%

Draw 25.44%

San Marino	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.37%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.18%