Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Northern Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Kazakhstan national football team

N. Ireland
0 - 1
Kazakhstan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Aymbetov (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Northern Ireland and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 N. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-3 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawKazakhstan
43.93% (-23.485 -23.49)21.71% (-0.992 -0.99)34.36% (24.47 24.47)
Both teams to score 69.78% (38.972 38.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (33.375 33.38)29.83% (-33.382 -33.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (31.625 31.63)50.99% (-31.632 -31.63)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (3.94 3.94)14.5% (-3.947 -3.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (7.119 7.12)42.49% (-7.127 -7.13)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (43.836 43.84)18.38% (-43.842 -43.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (42.224 42.22)49.52% (-42.231 -42.23)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 43.93%
    Kazakhstan 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
Northern IrelandDrawKazakhstan
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.637 0.64)
3-1 @ 5.42% (1.034 1.03)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-14.254 -14.25)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-11.421 -11.42)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.549 3.55)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-6.041 -6.04)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.763 0.76)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.776 1.78)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-2.361 -2.36)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.181 1.18)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.384 0.38)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-2 @ 7.13% (5.283 5.28)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-8.806 -8.81)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.427 2.43)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (5.2 5.2)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.932 -0.93)
1-3 @ 4.17% (3.823 3.82)
2-3 @ 4.03% (3.733 3.73)
0-2 @ 3.82% (2.531 2.53)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.954 1.95)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.724 1.72)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.67 1.67)
3-4 @ 1.1% (1.077 1.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.89 0.89)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Kazakhstan

Northern Ireland
36.7%
Draw
28.3%
Kazakhstan
35.0%
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