Euro Champ Qualifying
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Glen Kamara
16'
-
Benjamin Kallman
39'
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Daniel Hakans
65'
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Daniel Hakans
72'
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Daniel Hakans
74'
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Teemu Pukki
76'
Finland vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
Result
Finland
43.93%
▼
(-34.25)
Draw
21.71%
▲
(+6.30)
San Marino
34.36%
▲
(+27.95)
Both Teams to Score:
69.78%
▲
(+34.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.16%
▲
(+17.43)
Under 2.5
29.83%
▼
(-17.43)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▲
(+18.50)
Under 3.5
50.99%
▼
(-18.50)
Over 4.5
29.83%
▲
(+14.81)
Under 4.5
70.16%
▼
(-14.82)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
85.5%
▼
(-4.40)
Under 0.5
14.5%
▲
(+4.39)
Over 1.5
57.5%
▼
(-9.22)
Under 1.5
42.49%
▲
(+9.21)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5
81.61%
▲
(+42.54)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▼
(-42.55)
Over 1.5
50.48%
▲
(+41.60)
Under 1.5
49.52%
▼
(-41.61)
Score analysis
Finland
43.93%
Draw
21.71%
San Marino
34.36%
Finland
2-1
@
8.42%
▲
(+0.41)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.71)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-8.97)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-11.21)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+3.08)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-9.16)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.90)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-84.69)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-5.54)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-13.15)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.71)
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-8.97)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-11.21)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+3.08)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-9.16)
4-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.90)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-84.69)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-5.54)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-13.15)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+1.73)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+5.15)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-3.50)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-22.51)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+5.15)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-3.50)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-22.51)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
San Marino
1-2
@
7.38%
▲
(+5.65)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+1.46)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-24.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-28.78)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-71.78)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-10.35)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-1.74)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-2.40)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-2.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%
0-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+1.46)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-24.44)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-28.78)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-71.78)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-10.35)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-1.74)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-2.40)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-2.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.36%