Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Telia Parken

Denmark
4 - 0
San Marino

Hojbjerg (26'), Maehle (28'), Wind (40'), Eriksen (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	4	7	9
2	Kazakhstan	4	4	9
3	Denmark	4	2	7
4	Slovenia	4	1	7
5	Northern Ireland	4	-1	3
6	San Marino	4	-13	0

San Marino

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Finland 6-0 San Marino
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Finland	4	7	9
2	Kazakhstan	4	4	9
3	Denmark	4	2	7
4	Slovenia	4	1	7
5	Northern Ireland	4	-1	3
6	San Marino	4	-13	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 97.3%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 4-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.5%) and 5-0 (13.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.44%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Denmark in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
Denmark	Draw	San Marino
97.3% ( 0.01)	2.41% ( -0.01)	0.29% ( -0)

Both teams to score 13.08% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.54% (

-0.05)

20.46% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.26% (

-0.08)

38.74% (

0.07)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.34% (

-0)

1.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

91.55% (

-0.01)

8.45% (

0.01)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

13.3% (

-0.2)

86.7% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.93% (

-0.03)

99.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Denmark 97.28%

San Marino 0.29%

Draw 2.41%

Denmark	Draw	San Marino
4-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 16.5% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 9-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 97.28%	0-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 2.41%	Other @ 0.29% Total : 0.29%