Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Telia Parken
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 26' goal
  • Joakim Maehle 28' goal
  • Jonas Wind 40' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 90'+3' goal

Denmark vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Slovenia 1 - 1 Denmark

San Marino

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
Finland 6 - 0 San Marino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 97.3%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 4-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.5%) and 5-0 (13.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.44%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Denmark in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result

Denmark 97.3% (+0.02)
Draw 2.41% (-0.01)
San Marino 0.29% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

13.08% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.54% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 20.46% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 61.26% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 38.74% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 41.86% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 58.14% (+0.08)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 98.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 1.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 91.55% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 8.45% (+0.02)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 13.3% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 86.7% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 0.93% (-2.70)
Under 1.5 99.07% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Denmark 97.28%
Draw 2.41%
San Marino 0.29%
Denmark
4-0 @ 16.91% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 16.5% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 13.87% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.07% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 9.48% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.89% (+0.03)
7-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
8-0 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
9-0 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 97.28%
Draw
0-0 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 2.41%
San Marino
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 0.29%