Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • George Saville 28' yellowcard
  • Trai Hume 33' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 60' goal
  • Dion Charles 81' goal
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 90'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 90'+2'

Northern Ireland vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 5.00pm
Finland 4 - 0 N. Ireland

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 7.45pm
Denmark 2 - 1 Slovenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Northern Ireland 31.33% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 27.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Denmark 41.48% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 55.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 23.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 67.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 30.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.34% ▲ (+0.10)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 26.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 38.25% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 61.74% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 31.33%
Draw 27.19%
Denmark 41.47%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.19%
Denmark
0-1 @ 11.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.47%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Jonas Wind 47' goal