Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parken
  • Joakim Maehle 26' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 32' yellowcard
  • Thomas Delaney 54' goal
  • goal Erik Janza 30'
  • yellowcard Timi Elsnik 32'

Denmark vs Slovenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
San Marino 1 - 2 Denmark

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
N. Ireland 0 - 1 Slovenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result

Denmark 62.88% ▼ (-2.17)
Draw 21.87% ▲ (+0.63)
Slovenia 15.24% ▲ (+1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.13% ▲ (+1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.53% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 50.46% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 27.6% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 72.39% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 13.04% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 86.95% ▼ (-0.26)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 15.47% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 55.65% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 1.5 44.34% ▲ (+1.04)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 54.57% ▲ (+2.52)
Under 0.5 45.42% ▼ (-2.52)
Over 1.5 18.73% ▲ (+1.92)
Under 1.5 81.27% ▼ (-1.93)

Score analysis

Denmark 62.87%
Draw 21.87%
Slovenia 15.24%
Denmark
1-0 @ 13.11% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.71)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.60)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.36)
4-1 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.16)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.87%
Slovenia
0-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.29)
1-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.41)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-89.03)
2-3 @ 1% ▼ (-84.70)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.24%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Stozice
  • Andraz Sporar 25' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 42'