Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.