Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 14, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parken
  • Andreas Christensen 23' yellowcard
  • Simon Kjaer 27' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 36' goal
  • Robert Skov 45'+1' goal
  • Robert Skov 48' goal
  • goal Yan Vorogovskiy 58'
  • yellowcard Nuraly Alip 85'

Denmark vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2023 5.00pm
Finland 0 - 1 Denmark

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2023 2.00pm
Kazakhstan 1 - 0 N. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result

Denmark 75.67% (+0.14)
Draw 15.64% (-0.16)
Kazakhstan 8.68% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.42% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.14% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 39.86% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 37.78% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 62.22% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 20.38% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 79.61% (-0.62)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 91.12% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 8.88% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 69.62% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 30.37% (-0.54)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 49.84% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 50.16% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 15.23% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 84.77% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Denmark 75.66%
Draw 15.64%
Kazakhstan 8.68%
Denmark
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.28)
3-0 @ 10.53% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.27% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.4% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.13% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.52% (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 75.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.11% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.64%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 3.07% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 8.68%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 26, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Baktiyor Zainutdinov 73' goal
  • Askhat Tagybergen 86' goal
  • Abat Aymbetov 89' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 21'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 35'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 10, 2017 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Islambek Kuat 76' goal
  • goal Nicolai Joergensen 27'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 51'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 81'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Andreas Cornelius 15' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 36' goal
  • Peter Ankersen 78' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 92' goal
  • goal Gafurzhan Suyumbayev 17'