Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.