International Friendlies
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Memphis Depay
30'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
40'
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
72'
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Wout Weghorst
84'
-
Donyell Malen
86'
-
Scott McTominay
9'
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John McGinn
37'
Netherlands vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
Result
Netherlands
61.32%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
21.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Scotland
17.07%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.88%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.84%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
46.16%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
31.54%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
68.46%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
15.75%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
84.25%
▲
(+0.15)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5
85.45%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
14.55%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
57.41%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
42.59%
▲
(+0.23)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5
59.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
40.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
22.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
77.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Netherlands
61.32%
Draw
21.59%
Scotland
17.07%
Netherlands
1-0
@
11.34%
▲
(+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.32%
2-0 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.32%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.59%
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.59%
Scotland
0-1
@
5.33%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.07%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Memphis Depay
17'
-
Matthijs de Ligt
42'
-
Memphis Depay
89'
-
Jack Hendry
11'
-
Kevin Nisbet
64'
International Friendlies
-
John McGinn
64'
-
Memphis Depay
40'
-
Kevin Strootman
74'