/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgiblog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
-
Dayle Coleing
26'
-
Michael Ruiz
82'
-
Edvinas Girdvainis
8'
-
Justas Lasickas
16'
-
Gytis Paulauskas
32'
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Gvidas Gineitis
44'
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Armandas Kucys
60'
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Armandas Kucys
60'
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Edvinas Girdvainis
71'
Gibraltar vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fedgaras-jankauskas.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 76.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.21%) and 0-3 (12.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.01%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.
Result
Gibraltar
5.99%
▼
(-0.55)
Draw
17.52%
▲
(+0.43)
Lithuania
76.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
27.74%
▼
(-3.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.2%
▼
(-3.28)
Under 2.5
56.8%
▲
(+3.27)
Over 3.5
22.26%
▼
(-2.70)
Under 3.5
77.73%
▲
(+2.69)
Over 4.5
9.67%
▼
(-1.67)
Under 4.5
90.33%
▲
(+1.66)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5
31.98%
▼
(-3.54)
Under 0.5
68.02%
▲
(+3.53)
Over 1.5
5.77%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 1.5
94.23%
▲
(+1.46)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
86.75%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 0.5
13.25%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 1.5
59.97%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 1.5
40.03%
▲
(+1.93)
Score analysis
Gibraltar
5.99%
Draw
17.52%
Lithuania
76.47%
Gibraltar
1-0
@
3.47%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 5.99%
2-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 5.99%
Draw
0-0
@
9.01%
▲
(+1.08)
1-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.52%
1-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.52%
Lithuania
0-2
@
18.4%
▲
(+0.99)
0-1 @ 18.21% ▲ (+1.59)
0-3 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.55)
0-4 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.56)
0-5 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 76.47%
0-1 @ 18.21% ▲ (+1.59)
0-3 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.55)
0-4 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.56)
0-5 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.38)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 76.47%