/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
-
Valentin Antov
8'
-
Andrian Kraev
21'
-
Andrian Kraev
42'
-
Lukas Petkov
60'
-
Ilia Gruev
68'
-
Kiril Despodov
71'
-
Gvidas Gineitis
19'
-
Pijus Sirvys
45'
-
Pijus Sirvys
55'
Bulgaria vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F25%2Fbulgaria.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result
Bulgaria
56.35%
▼
(-2.15)
Draw
24.14%
▲
(+0.51)
Lithuania
19.51%
▲
(+1.65)
Both Teams to Score:
47.55%
▲
(+1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.1%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
52.9%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
25.49%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
74.51%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
11.67%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
88.33%
▼
(-0.14)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
81.37%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 0.5
18.63%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 1.5
50.06%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 1.5
49.94%
▲
(+1.20)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
58.43%
▲
(+2.05)
Under 0.5
41.57%
▼
(-2.05)
Over 1.5
21.94%
▲
(+1.75)
Under 1.5
78.06%
▼
(-1.75)
Score analysis
Bulgaria
56.34%
Draw
24.14%
Lithuania
19.51%
Bulgaria
1-0
@
13.01%
▼
(-0.42)
2-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.63)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 56.34%
2-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.63)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 56.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.42%
▲
(+0.27)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.14%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.14%
Lithuania
0-1
@
6.8%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.39)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.51%
1-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.39)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.51%