Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hungary
3 - 0
Bulgaria

Vecsei (7'), Szoboszlai (26'), Adam (39')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Estonia
Thursday, March 23 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	6	1	11
2	Hungary	6	3	10
3	Germany	6	2	7
4	England	6	-6	3

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
Friday, March 24 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Bulgaria
53.88% ( -0.34)	26.72% ( -0.06)	19.41% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 40.71% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.12% (

0.58)

61.88% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.35% (

0.43)

81.65% (

-0.42)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

0.1)

23.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.82% (

0.15)

57.18% (

-0.15)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05% (

0.82)

46.95% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

0.61)

82.45% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Hungary 53.86%

Bulgaria 19.41%

Draw 26.72%

Hungary	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 15.92% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.41%