/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fhunlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
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Barnabas Varga
32'
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Roland Sallai
83'
Hungary vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fhunger.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.81%) and 3-0 (12.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.65%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hungary in this match.
Result
Hungary
77.06%
▲
(+33.14)
Draw
17.08%
▼
(-4.63)
Lithuania
5.85%
▼
(-28.51)
Both Teams to Score:
28.09%
▼
(-41.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.27%
▼
(-25.90)
Under 2.5
55.73%
▲
(+25.90)
Over 3.5
23.13%
▼
(-25.88)
Under 3.5
76.87%
▲
(+25.89)
Over 4.5
10.19%
▼
(-19.65)
Under 4.5
89.81%
▲
(+19.65)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5
87.24%
▲
(+1.75)
Under 0.5
12.76%
▼
(-1.74)
Over 1.5
60.98%
▲
(+3.48)
Under 1.5
39.02%
▼
(-3.48)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
32.19%
▼
(-49.43)
Under 0.5
67.81%
▲
(+49.43)
Over 1.5
5.85%
▼
(-44.64)
Under 1.5
94.15%
▲
(+44.64)
Score analysis
Hungary
77.05%
Draw
17.08%
Lithuania
5.85%
Hungary
2-0
@
18.33%
▲
(+13.37)
1-0 @ 17.81% ▲ (+12.67)
3-0 @ 12.58% ▲ (+9.39)
2-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-1.30)
4-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+4.94)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.53)
5-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-57.04)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 77.05%
1-0 @ 17.81% ▲ (+12.67)
3-0 @ 12.58% ▲ (+9.39)
2-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-1.30)
4-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+4.94)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.53)
5-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-57.04)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 77.05%
Draw
0-0
@
8.65%
▲
(+5.99)
1-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-1.80)
2-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-5.75)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.08%
1-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-1.80)
2-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-5.75)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.08%
Lithuania
0-1
@
3.36%
▼
(-1.16)
1-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-6.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 5.85%
1-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-6.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 5.85%