Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Girdvainis (15')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Petkov (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Greece 0-0 Lithuania
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Bulgaria

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 3-0 Bulgaria
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Serbia	2	4	6
2	Hungary	1	3	3
3	Montenegro	2	-1	3
4	Lithuania	1	-2	0
5	Bulgaria	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Bulgaria
18.78% ( -0.58)	24.19% ( -0.57)	57.03% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

1.36)

54% (

-1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

1.13)

75.44% (

-1.13)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95% (

0.13)

43.04% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.67% (

0.11)

79.33% (

-0.12)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.96)

18.79% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79% (

1.58)

50.21% (

-1.59)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 18.78%

Bulgaria 57.02%

Draw 24.18%

Lithuania	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.78%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 57.02%