Euro Champ Qualifying
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Edvinas Girdvainis
15'
-
Marin Petkov
27'
Lithuania vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Lithuania
18.78%
▼
(-0.58)
Draw
24.19%
▼
(-0.57)
Bulgaria
57.03%
▲
(+1.14)
Both Teams to Score:
46.25%
▲
(+0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.99%
▲
(+1.36)
Under 2.5
54%
▼
(-1.37)
Over 3.5
24.55%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 3.5
75.44%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 4.5
11.08%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 4.5
88.92%
▼
(-0.71)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
56.95%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
43.04%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
20.67%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
79.33%
▼
(-0.12)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
81.2%
▲
(+0.96)
Under 0.5
18.79%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 1.5
49.79%
▲
(+1.58)
Under 1.5
50.21%
▼
(-1.59)
Score analysis
Lithuania
18.78%
Draw
24.18%
Bulgaria
57.02%
Lithuania
1-0
@
6.82%
▼
(-0.35)
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.78%
2-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.78%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▼
(-0.22)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.18%
0-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.18%
Bulgaria
0-1
@
13.52%
▼
(-0.32)
0-2 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.22)
0-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 57.02%
0-2 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.22)
0-4 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 57.02%
