Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT S. Dariaus ir S. GirÄ—no stadionas
  • Edvinas Girdvainis 30' yellowcard
  • Gytis Paulauskas 71' goal
  • Fedor Cernych 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Miodrag Radulovic 31'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 57'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 78'
  • yellowcard Uros Durdevic 84'
  • goal Stefan Savic 89'

Lithuania vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Hungary 2 - 0 Lithuania

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
Montenegro 0 - 0 Hungary

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.59%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Lithuania 13.62% (+0.40)
Draw 22.45% (+0.20)
Montenegro 63.92% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.81% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 55.55% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.72% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 10.28% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.71% (-0.02)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 49.09% (+0.66)
Under 0.5 50.9% (-0.66)
Over 1.5 14.72% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 85.28% (-0.44)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 83.13% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 16.87% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 53.1% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 46.89% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Lithuania 13.62%
Draw 22.44%
Montenegro 63.91%
Lithuania
1-0 @ 5.8% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 3.48% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 1.96% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.1% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
Montenegro
0-1 @ 15.28% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 13.59% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 9.18% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 8.07% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 63.91%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 14, 2018 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Linas Klimavicius 45' yellowcard
  • Rolandas Baravykas 88' goal
  • goal Stefan Mugosa 10'
  • yellowcard Marko Vesovic 33'
  • goal Boris Kopitovic 35'
  • goal Stefan Mugosa 45'
  • goal Darko Zoric 86'
Nations League
Sep 10, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nikola Vukcevic 14' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 34' goal
  • Marko Jankovic 36' goal
  • Marko Jankovic 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Egidijus Vaitkunas 52'
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 54'
  • yellowcard Modestas Vorobjovas 79'