Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK

S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

Lithuania
2 - 2
Montenegro

Paulauskas (71'), Cernych (90+4')
Girdvainis (30')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krstovic (57', 78'), Savic (89')
Radulovic (31'), Durdevic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Montenegro

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Montenegro 1-4 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	3	5	7
2	Serbia	3	4	7
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Bulgaria	4	-4	2
5	Lithuania	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.59%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Montenegro
13.62% ( 0.4)	22.45% ( 0.2)	63.92% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 40.81% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

0.03)

55.55% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

0.02)

76.72% (

-0.03)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.09% (

0.65)

50.9% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.72% (

0.43)

85.28% (

-0.44)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0.2)

16.87% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1% (

-0.35)

46.89% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 13.62%

Montenegro 63.91%

Draw 22.44%

Lithuania	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.38% Total : 13.62%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 15.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 13.59% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 8.07% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 63.91%