Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 78'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 90'+5'

Montenegro vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 5.00pm
Bulgaria 0 - 1 Montenegro

Serbia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Serbia 2 - 0 Lithuania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result

Montenegro 24.11% (-0.04)
Draw 26.74% (+0.01)
Serbia 49.15% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.99% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.08% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 57.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 21.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.14% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.86% (+0.03)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 60.25% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.75% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.57% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.43% (+0.06)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 76.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.23% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Montenegro 24.11%
Draw 26.73%
Serbia 49.14%
Montenegro
1-0 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.73%
Serbia
0-1 @ 13.55% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.77% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.14%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 17, 2018 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adem Ljajic 30' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 32' goal
  • Mijat Gacinovic 61' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Matic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Mugosa 5'
  • yellowcard Marko Simic 36'
  • yellowcard Boris Kopitovic 47'
  • goal Stefan Mugosa 70'
  • yellowcard Marko Jankovic 76'
Nations League
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filip Stojkovic 18' yellowcard
  • Nikola Vukcevic 63' yellowcard
  • Marko Jankovic 77' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 18'
  • yellowcard Sasa Lukic 31'
  • yellowcard Dusan Tadic 36'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 81'