Friendlies 1

Jun 20, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Pod Goricom

Montenegro
1 - 4
Czech Republic

Camaj (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chytil (28'), Sadilek (57'), Provod (75'), Hlozek (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Montenegro and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Montenegro 0-0 Hungary
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Serbia	2	4	6
2	Hungary	2	3	4
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Lithuania	2	-2	1
5	Bulgaria	3	-4	1

Czech Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-3 Czech Republic
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	3	5	7
2	Albania	2	1	3
3	Poland	2	-1	3
4	Moldova	3	-2	2
5	Faroe Islands	2	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 42.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Czech Republic
27.98% ( -15.98)	29.26% ( 6.8)	42.76% ( 9.18)

Both teams to score 42.26% (

-24.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.91% (

-30.17)

64.09% (

30.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.75% (

-27.47)

83.25% (

27.46)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

-23.73)

39.82% (

23.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51% (

-30.99)

76.49% (

30.98)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-9.09)

29.77% (

9.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

-12.57)

65.84% (

12.57)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 27.97%

Czech Republic 42.76%

Draw 29.25%

Montenegro	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 4.83) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -2.66) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -3.46) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.84) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -3.07) Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 3.64) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 8.52) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -3.21) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 14.36% ( 9.11) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 4.57) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 1.34) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.73) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -2.13) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.58) Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.76%