Euro Champ Qualifying
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Kiril Despodov
47'
-
Darko Lazovic
90'+6'
Bulgaria vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Bulgaria
34.24%
▼
(-9.70)
Draw
27.4%
▲
(+5.70)
Serbia
38.36%
▲
(+4.00)
Both Teams to Score:
49.49%
▼
(-20.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.91%
▼
(-26.25)
Under 2.5
56.08%
▲
(+26.26)
Over 3.5
22.84%
▼
(-26.17)
Under 3.5
77.16%
▲
(+26.17)
Over 4.5
10.01%
▼
(-19.82)
Under 4.5
89.98%
▲
(+19.82)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
69.09%
▼
(-16.41)
Under 0.5
30.91%
▲
(+16.42)
Over 1.5
32.8%
▼
(-24.70)
Under 1.5
67.2%
▲
(+24.71)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5
71.63%
▼
(-9.99)
Under 0.5
28.37%
▲
(+9.99)
Over 1.5
35.88%
▼
(-14.60)
Under 1.5
64.11%
▲
(+14.60)
Score analysis
Bulgaria
34.23%
Draw
27.4%
Serbia
38.35%
Bulgaria
1-0
@
10.29%
▲
(+5.15)
2-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.81)
2-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+1.08)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-2.44)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.84)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-2.72)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.23%
2-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.81)
2-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+1.08)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-2.44)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.84)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-2.72)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.23%
Draw
1-1
@
12.97%
▲
(+4.26)
0-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+6.11)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-2.34)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.4%
0-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+6.11)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-2.34)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.4%
Serbia
0-1
@
11.04%
▲
(+6.53)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.79)
0-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+3.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.74)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.77)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-2.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.69)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 38.35%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.79)
0-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+3.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.74)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.77)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-2.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.69)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 38.35%