Montenegro vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.