Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Iran
26.99% ( -2.07)	25.38% ( -0.31)	47.62% ( 2.38)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21% (

0.07)

50.79% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32% (

0.06)

72.68% (

-0.06)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

-1.55)

33.37% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-1.74)

70% (

1.74)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

1.1)

21.34% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

1.67)

54.3% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 26.99%

Iran 47.62%

Draw 25.38%

Bulgaria	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.99%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.62%