Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT S. Dariaus ir S. GirÄ—no stadionas
  • Fedor Cernych 20' goal
  • Pijus Sirvys 36' goal
  • Rokas Lekiatas 42' yellowcard
  • Edgaras Utkus 55' yellowcard
  • Kipras Kazukolovas 70' yellowcard
  • Justas Lasickas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominik Szoboszlai 55'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 67'
  • yellowcard Attila Fiola 74'
  • goal Barnabas Varga 82'

Lithuania vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 5.00pm
Bulgaria 0 - 2 Lithuania

Hungary

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 7.45pm
Hungary 2 - 1 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Lithuania 12.24% (-0.11)
Draw 20.63% (-0.37)
Hungary 67.12% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.15% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.45% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 51.55% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 26.66% (+1.01)
Under 3.5 73.34% (-1.02)
Over 4.5 12.42% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 87.57% (-0.66)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 49.29% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 50.71% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 14.85% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 85.14% (-0.37)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 85.52% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 14.47% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 57.55% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 42.45% (-1.02)

Score analysis

Lithuania 12.24%
Draw 20.64%
Hungary 67.12%
Lithuania
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 12.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 3.16% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.64%
Hungary
0-1 @ 14.18% (-0.41)
0-2 @ 13.71% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.31% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 8.83% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6% (+0.16)
0-4 @ 4.27% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 2.9% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 1.65% (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.12% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 67.12%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Puskas Arena
  • Barnabas Varga 32' goal
  • Roland Sallai 83' goal