Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.